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预测

新的, 注释

正如我在做联盟预览的同时说,我倾向于远离预测游戏。我喜欢给人们一点点历史,改变摘要,也许是一个团队的一般可能趋势。预测特定结果的唯一点是如此,所以你们可以在晚些时候回来并说“戴夫,你很棒!”或“戴夫,你吮吸!”其中任何一个都应该是NBA预览的重点。所以我给你一般的信息加上一个常识分析前景,即该警告,即联盟并不总是根据常识或分析工作。

但是只是为了好玩,因为它强化了the idea of trends) I thought I'd give my projected ranges for each team. I read in the ESPN League Review that John Hollinger had done the same thing but I didn't look at his at all to avoid being swayed. I am still not going to give specific win totals because that's mostly luck and voodoo. But I have broken down the possibilities into several categories. For playoff teams you have NBA Finals, Conference Finals, Second Round, and First Round, meaning the highest round that team will reach. I did not bother to distinguish between NBA Finals and NBA Champion, figuring that anybody making the Finals has a presumed chance to be champion. Below the playoff scale you have three designations:

.500球(在39-43之间的某个地方胜过但不在季后赛之间)
三十岁(30-38胜)
二十多岁或以下(29或更少)

对于我所列出的每个团队,高度和低的范围。高度不是过度的。我们在这里没有投射奇迹。低的是我可以想象的最低点。

一个警告:我被认为是孤立的每个团队。虽然我怀疑它可以。不要抱着我。

东部

底特律活塞高:NBA决赛低:第二轮
克利夫兰骑士高:会议决赛低:第一轮
多伦多猛禽高:第二轮低:第一轮
迈阿密热量高:会议决赛低:.500球
芝加哥公牛高:NBA决赛低:第二轮
新泽西篮网高:第二轮低:第一轮
华盛顿巫师高:第二轮低:.500球
奥兰多魔术高:会议决赛低:第一轮
印第安纳步行者高:.500球低:三十岁
费城76''高:.500球低:二十只或下方
Charlotte Bobcats高:.500球低:二十岁或以下
纽约尼克斯高:第一轮低:三十岁
亚特兰大老鹰高:.500球低:三十岁
密尔沃基雄伟:33岁以下:二十四岁或以下
波士顿凯尔特人高:NBA决赛低:第二轮

西方

Dallas Mavericks高:NBA决赛低:第二轮
凤凰太阳高:NBA决赛低:第二轮
San Antonio Spurs High:NBA决赛低:第二轮
犹他州爵士高:会议决赛低:第一轮
休斯顿火箭高:会议决赛低:第一轮
丹佛掘金高:第二轮低:第一轮
L.A.L * KERS高:第一轮低:三十岁
金州勇士高:第一轮低:.500球
L.A.快船高:第一轮低:三十岁(如果受伤)
新奥尔良黄蜂高:第一轮低:.500球
萨克拉门托国王高:.500球低:三十岁
波特兰拓丁树高:.500球低:二十岁或以下
明尼苏达森林狼高:.500球低:二十岁或以下
西雅图超声物高:三十岁以下:二十几岁或以下
孟菲斯灰熊高:.500球低:二十多岁或以下

Also I always put aside my bias against predicting enough to project the NBA Finalists and Champion each year. I have not always been accurate on both Finals teams but I am working on some kind of ridiculous streak of 6 in 7 getting the actual Champion right. (I think I missed the Pistons over the Lakers in 2004.) This year, though, I want to really go out on a limb and test this streak thing. So I've decided to go away from the safe, sane pick...not too far out, but not the favorite by any means.

我预期的决赛:芝加哥公牛队在达拉斯小牛

There you go. I never change in the middle of the year. Now you'll have something about which to call me completely silly or genius-savant.

--dave(blazersub@yahoo.com.的)