自全明星休息以来，开拓者的进攻激增

这个季节感觉更像是两个波特兰越野开拓者。在所有明星的失望和全明星休息后，都有全明星的休息。JusufNurkić的到来划定了这两者，但他真正产生了多少差异？

让我们最后一次检查进攻，看看Nurkić的影响是否显示在团队的统计资料中。

开拓者队的进攻

进攻评分：109.6，第6号（106.8，第13号）

*note: all stats are from stats.nba.com unless otherwise noted. Numbers in parentheses represent the team’s statistics this season before Nurkić’s arrival.

毫无疑问，开拓者队自全明星赛以来就一直流泪。他们的进攻从几乎平均升至几乎五个。但这与上个赛季的奇怪之处相似，当时球队变得热火到本赛季结束，每个人都认为球队会在他们离开的地方接球。去年是首发阵容的变化。

This season it’s Nurkić Fever.

在我们寄予希望之前，是否有证据表明这是可持续的上升？让我们继续挖掘。

四个因素

• EFG%: 54.4%, No. 4 (51.3%, No. 14)
• TOV%: 15.4, No. 27 (13.6, No. 10)
• Oreb％：23.6％，第15号（22.7％，第17号）
• FT率（FTA/FGA）：0.301，第7号（0.270，第19号）

马上出现有意义的差异。开拓者的射击伴随着罚球率。这肯定与内部的大型烧焦器制造点并用武力攻击边缘。营业额也在上升，如果您在混合物中添加了容易流动率的中心，则另一个可预测的结果。

但是，由于样本量较小，这些事情很容易由已经在阵容中波动的球员引起。为了阐明这些问题，我们必须在每个统计数据的背景下查看整个名册。

Shooting

Throughout the season, Portland’s shot distribution remained remarkably consistent. While the offensive output varied, the way the team tried to generate points didn’t. Portland was a team that rarely (relatively speaking) got all the way to the basket and made up for it with lots of 3-pointers at the top of the key.

That may be changing.

波特兰在油漆和受限区域内拍摄了更多的镜头。这是以三分球为代价的，因为开拓者的进攻越来越多。自努尔基奇（Nurkić）到来以来，三角三分，三分之高。

了解这一转变是非常基本的。相比Mason Plumlee，努尔基奇（Nurkić）比将球踢到周边更有可能滚动到边缘。与普鲁姆（Plumlee）的制作相比，努尔基奇（Nurkić）在比赛中平均每场比赛近两杆。

From a purely numbers perspective, this shift in shot selection is almost a wash. Three-pointers and shots at the rim are the most valuable areas on the floor. What you’d prefer to do is move shots out of the mid-range into one of the those two areas. Shuffling between the high-efficiency areas will have a muted effect in comparison.

So how do we explain the team’s increased shooting percentage?

哇!看那些三分百分比。波特兰has gone absolutely nuts from behind the arc since the break. They’re leading the league in shooting outside over that time period from both major areas. There’s also been a slight uptick In the paint and slight regression from the mid-range but these changes are relatively small. What’s really driving the Blazers’ improved EFG% is their hot shooting from behind the arc.

篮球是一款非常相互联系的游戏，人们可能会说，一个新中心可以直接从外部射击。如果他们设置了更好的屏幕，则警卫将有更多的时间和空间。如果他们引起内部的注意，他们将为球员提供选择的接球机会。

This is certainly happening. Nurkić has helped free达米安·利拉德（Damian Lillard）and company with his big body and aggressive rim runs. The problem is the extent.

Literally every shooter on the team is current shooting well above both their season and their career averages from behind the line; some of them are显著地above their averages. We all know CJ McCollum is a great shooter. But is anyone willing to bet he can shoot 48 percent from deep for a whole season? These kinds of team-wide hot streaks just aren’t sustainable. Maybe we could hope one or two players would exceed their career averages next year, but not the whole team.

Nurkić has made a difference, but a hot streak is driving the team’s recent offensive performance.

失误

您可能可以钉上Nurkić的到来。努尔基奇的平均失误几乎是梅森李子的两倍，大致相同的时间。同时，自全明星休息以来，其他人的失误数字没有太大变化。我们知道失误是努尔基奇的弱点之一，在这方面，他正按宣传。

进攻篮板

If he’s to blame for losing possessions, Nurkić is also responsible for creating extra shots. Portland’s offensive rebounding numbers have gone up a modest one percentage point, but it’s pretty much all due to their new big man. Everyone’s numbers are almost identical, and Nurkić is handily outpacing Plumlee’s production. He’s grabbing 12.9 percent of the available offensive rebounds while Mason only collected 9 percent.

Free Throws

This picture is a little more complicated. Nurkić is averaging an extra half a free throw a game compared to Plumlee, not nearly enough to explain the team’s uptick. No one has spiked in this area but half the roster has improved slightly. This seems like a collective effort to be more aggressive. Perhaps it’s because they’ve all caught the fever but I’ll need to see this trend last for awhile longer before I put any stock in it.

Why is the Blazers’ Offense Clicking so Well Right Now?

As potent as Nurkić fever has been, it’s Damian Lillard who has increased the temperature. His hot shooting, and that of his fellow guards, has driven this uptick in offensive performance over the past several weeks.

那次枪击可能是不可持续的。利拉德（Lillard）从来没有在这个水平上整整整整一个赛季，这是不合理的，认为他的大多数队友可以通过这个差距持续超过他们的职业平均水平。

这听起来像是一条湿毯子，但是如果您停下来考虑一下，那真的不是。努尔基奇（Nurkić）并未将开拓者队（Diment）带到进攻层的新水平，但他也没有妨碍他们。他的比赛与李子不同，在整个团队的个人资料中都可以看到该签名。通过交易中心，他们将RIM-Runs交易进行了踢出，并获得了更多的篮板和失误。很难解开所有这些竞争趋势，但它们可能甚至是。

许多粉丝梦想着一个中心可以在进攻端模仿李子，同时在另一方提供边缘保护的存在。稍后，我们将进入防守端，但是Nurkić或多或少在该水平上生产了。而且他在22岁时就这样做的天花板与任何人一样高。

这种热门射击的连胜不会永远持续下去，但这并不能使努尔基奇的未来与开拓者的光明降低。